Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.090.92
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
45
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
73
Passes
77% (318/412)77% (274/354)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.090.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.681.05
Total shots
2510
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
94
Blocked shots
121
Shots inside the box
197
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1614
Passes
77% (318/412)77% (274/354)
Long passes
31% (16/52)29% (14/49)
Passes in final third
68% (65/96)64% (48/75)
Crosses
45% (9/20)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.79
Throw ins
1517
Fouls
1416
Tackles
53% (9/17)38% (6/16)
Duels won
6055
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.052.68
Goals prevented
1.05-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Pieczek M. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Davidovic S. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 0, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sidibe A. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
  • 46', Kubiak O. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
  • 46', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
  • 59', Szota S. ↓, Zator D. ↑,
  • 70', Blanik D. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
  • 74', Rubezic S. 🟨,
  • 74', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
  • 76', Stepinski M. ↓, Antonin ↑,
  • 76', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
  • 80', Kerk S. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
  • 84', Davidovic S. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
49.5%		Draw
28.5%		Arka Gdynia
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 26.2% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.
  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.59)    		 3.32 ↓
    (3.41)    		 4.22 ↓
    (5.1)    		 6.5%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19% – 81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Arka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Korona is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Arka: Perea L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Korona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Arka Gdynia - Korona Kielce 0:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    16.03.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 2:1 ✺
    07.03.2026 Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺
    13.02.2026 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    15.03.2026 Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2026 Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia 0:3 ✺
    05.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia 3:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice 2:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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