Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/373) | 75% (267/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/373) | 75% (267/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/90) | 61% (71/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Pieczek M. ⚽, Sotiriou K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Matysik M. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
- 53', Guerrero S. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 53', Strzalek I. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Sotiriou K. ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 1, Durdov I. ⚽, Boboc R. (A),
- 64', Antonin ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 65', Trubeha A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 68', Gustafson S. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 77', Boboc R. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
- 83', Dlugosz W. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 83', Remacle M. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 90+9', Stepinski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
55.1% | Draw
24.2% | Termalica Nieciecza
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.64) |
3.85 ↑
(3.56) |
4.5 ↑
(4.33) |
6.8%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Korona Kielce will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3.
- Korona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Korona is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Korona: Blanik D.
(Inactive)
Matuszewski K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Korona won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Korona Kielce has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Korona Kielce?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
30.08.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Korona Kielce
1:3
06.09.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
21.01.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 55:41 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39:45 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Legia | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
