Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (198/292) | 64% (207/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (198/292) | 64% (207/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 47% (40/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (55/102) | 61% (99/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 45% (10/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Sutton W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 51', Mazionis J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
- 54', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
- 55', Willcox F. 🟨,
- 60', Young L. ↓, Pell H. ↑,
- 61', Archer E. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 61', Willcox F. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 73', Mellon M. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Hannant L. (Pen),
- 79', Martin J. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 84', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 89', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 3, Quigley J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town
24% | Draw
27.6% | Oldham Athletic
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(2.75) |
3.61 ↑
(3.57) |
2.04 ↓
(2.36) |
0.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
- Cheltenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oldham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
- Oldham could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Cheltenham Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Cheltenham Town?
Oldham Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Swindon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Bromley | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Oldham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Crewe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Barnet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Accrington | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Barrow | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
