Cheltenham Town vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.54
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
69% (198/285)77% (309/402)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.710.51
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
69% (198/285)77% (309/402)
Long passes
32% (22/69)34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
49% (37/76)48% (48/100)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.62
Throw-ins
2732
Fouls
1514
Tackles
57% (8/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
6449
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.512.71
Goals prevented
0.51-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Russell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Miller G. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Adelakun H. , Hutchinson I. (A),
  • 69', 2 - 0, Thomas J. ,
  • 73', Thomas J. , Harmon G. ,
  • 73', Hutchinson I. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Cundy R. , Young L. (A),
  • 77', Brown R. , Pereira D. ,
  • 77', Richards T. , Roles J. ,
  • 77', Adeyemo T. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 80', Jude-Boyd A. , Power D. ,
  • 81', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 89', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Power D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
35.8%
Draw
27.5%
Crawley Town
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 27.6% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.3% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheltenham Town's performance.
  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (3.2)
    3.38
    (3.33)
    2.57
    (2.1)
    7.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Cheltenham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cheltenham Town will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
    • Cheltenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crawley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One