Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Relegation Group - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.23
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
68% (160/236)87% (543/621)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.150.62
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
68% (160/236)87% (543/621)
Long passes
43% (26/60)67% (28/42)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)68% (105/154)
Crosses
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.39
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1622
Tackles
65% (15/23)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5530
Clearances
2921
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.622.15
Goals prevented
-0.380.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
  • 25', Abdusemet E. 🟨,
  • 30', Gao S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Xia Z. , Wang D. ,
  • 46', Abdusemet E. , Tang Wenxuan ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Wang D. ,
  • 58', Huang W. , Yang Boyue ,
  • 58', Xin Hongjun , Wen Y. ,
  • 58', Gao S. , Yu Tianle ,
  • 60', Memetimin Mewlan 🟨,
  • 64', Chen Rijin , Huang W. ,
  • 64', Zhang Junzhe , Chen L. ,
  • 74', Huang W. 🟨,
  • 79', Jiang L. , Zhang Hao ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Memetimin Mewlan ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Wen Y. , Huang W. (A),
  • 88', Huang Yikai , Wu Z. ,
  • 90+5', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
41.7%
Draw
29.8%
Guangdong Mingtu
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.5% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.13)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    3.2
    (3.28)
    9.7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Hubei Istar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hubei Istar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar 0:1
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B650112:5715
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei62403:1210
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Nantong Haimen71428:627
    7Dalian Yingbo B61417:8-17
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu61325:9-46
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion640210:7312
    2Guizhou Guiyang64027:6112
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Shenzhen623110:919
    7Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    8Ganzhou Ruishi61415:507
    9Jiangxi Lushan61326:606
    10Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Wenzhou Professional60333:6-33

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )