Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Relegation Group - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.23
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
68% (160/236)87% (543/621)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.150.62
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
68% (160/236)87% (543/621)
Long passes
43% (26/60)67% (28/42)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)68% (105/154)
Crosses
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.39
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1622
Tackles
65% (15/23)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5530
Clearances
2921
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.622.15
Goals prevented
-0.380.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
  • 25', Abdusemet E. 🟨,
  • 30', Gao S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Xia Z. , Wang D. ,
  • 46', Abdusemet E. , Tang Wenxuan ,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Wang D. ,
  • 58', Huang W. , Yang Boyue ,
  • 58', Xin Hongjun , Wen Y. ,
  • 58', Gao S. , Yu Tianle ,
  • 60', Memetimin Mewlan 🟨,
  • 64', Chen Rijin , Huang W. ,
  • 64', Zhang Junzhe , Chen L. ,
  • 74', Huang W. 🟨,
  • 79', Jiang L. , Zhang Hao ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Memetimin Mewlan ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Wen Y. , Huang W. (A),
  • 88', Huang Yikai , Wu Z. ,
  • 90+5', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
41.7%
Draw
29.8%
Guangdong Mingtu
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.5% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.8% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.13)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    3.2
    (3.28)
    9.7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Hubei Istar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hubei Istar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar 0:1
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Taian Tiankuang33007:349
    2Shanghai Port B32108:267
    3Shandong Taishan B32016:426
    4Dalian Yingbo B31204:315
    5Lanzhou Longyuan31202:115
    6Dalian Kewei31201:015
    7Nantong Haimen31115:234
    8Qingdao Red Lions30213:4-12
    9Changchun Xidu30211:5-42
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai30121:3-21
    11Shanghai Second30125:11-61
    12Beijing Technology30032:7-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion32014:226
    2Guizhou Guiyang32013:306
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B32014:316
    4Xiamen Feilu31207:525
    5Hubei Istar31114:404
    6Hangzhou Linping30303:303
    7Wuhan Three Towns B30303:303
    8Ganzhou Ruishi30302:203
    9Jiangxi Lushan30214:5-12
    10Guangdong Mingtu30213:4-12
    11Wenzhou Professional30212:3-12
    12Shenzhen30212:4-22

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