Platense vs Motagua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Platense - Motagua
Result
1:2
17/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', Crisanto L. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Vazquez M. ,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Portillo J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Crisanto L. , Melendez C. ,
  • 46', Barahona I. , Arriola J. ,
  • 48', Salinas M. 🟨,
  • 55', Zapata R. 🟥,
  • 58', Vazquez M. , Cabrera M. ,
  • 58', Nunez J. , Vega L. ,
  • 61', Mena J. , Urbina E. ,
  • 61', Welcome G. , Fajardo A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Urbina E. ,
  • 70', Serrano J. , Macias J. ,
  • 72', Salinas M. , Rodriguez O. ,
  • 80', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
  • 81', Mejia C. , Sacaza G. ,
  • 88', Pozantes S. , Reyes M. ,
  • 90+3', Licona M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cabrera M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Platense
21.4%
Draw
24.8%
Motagua
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 27% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 29.4% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platense's form might have worsened.
  • Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+20.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Platense - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (2.3)
    3.72
    (3.3)
    1.72
    (2.6)
    8.3%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Platense - Motagua?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motagua (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Motagua will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0.
    • Recent performances by Platense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Motagua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Platense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
    Latest results of Platense
    14.09.2025 Olancho - Platense 2:1
    11.09.2025 Platense - CD Marathón 1:1
    31.08.2025 Platense - Choloma 3:0
    10.08.2025 Platense - Lobos UPNFM 4:1
    Latest results of Motagua
    13.09.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 3:3
    10.09.2025 Choloma - Motagua 0:3
    31.08.2025 Motagua - Real España 3:2
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marathon1054121:81319
    2Olimpia953121:111018
    3Olancho944117:12516
    4Motagua942317:16114
    5Juticalpa842212:16-414
    6Platense941417:11613
    7UPNFM934215:15013
    8Real Espana932413:12111
    9Genesis82159:13-47
    10Choloma921610:24-147
    11Victoria91086:20-143

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )