Arezzo vs Guidonia Montecelio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
266
Shots on target
123
Corner Kicks
114
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
266
Shots on target
123
Shots off target
143
Corner Kicks
114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Spavone A. ,
  • 37', Tascone S. 🟨,
  • 39', Gilli M. 🟨,
  • 43', Errico A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Gilli M. , Arena M. ,
  • 60', Chierico L. , Eklu S. M. ,
  • 62', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
  • 66', Guccione F. , Cianci P. ,
  • 67', Tascone S. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 70', Mastrantonio V. , Tessiore A. ,
  • 70', Spavone A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 77', Tavernelli C. , Varela Djamanca M. ,
  • 77', Pattarello E. , Dell'Aquila F. ,
  • 81', Gigli N. 🟨,
  • 89', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
  • 89', Santoro S. , Franchini S. ,

Chances of winning


Arezzo
31.8%
Draw
43.6%
Guidonia Montecelio
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 24.3% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 22.4% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.
  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guidonia Montecelio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+36.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guidonia Montecelio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.52
    (1.44)
    4.02
    (3.74)
    7.13
    (7.3)
    -43%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Guidonia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arezzo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guidonia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Arezzo
    14.09.2025 Juventus U23 - Arezzo 2:3
    06.09.2025 Arezzo - Vis Pesaro 1:0
    29.08.2025 Pontedera - Arezzo 0:3
    22.08.2025 Arezzo - Forlì 1:0
    16.08.2025 Arezzo - Bra 2:1
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo54018:3512
    2Ravenna540111:7412
    3Ascoli53207:0711
    4Gubbio53205:2311
    5Pineto52217:528
    6Juventus U2352218:718
    7Carpi52215:508
    8Campobasso521210:737
    9Ternana52127:527
    10Guidonia52123:4-17
    11Vis Pesaro51314:226
    12Pianese51313:216
    13Forli52033:4-16
    14Sambenedettese51224:5-15
    15Torres51224:6-25
    16Pontedera51133:10-74
    17Perugia50325:8-33
    18Livorno51042:9-73
    19Bra50234:8-42
    20Rimini51133:7-4-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation