Boulogne vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.340.20
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
12
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Passes
67% (213/316)82% (391/478)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.340.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.20
Total shots
67
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
33
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free kicks
159
Passes
67% (213/316)82% (391/478)
Long passes
32% (18/57)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
52% (52/100)68% (80/117)
Crosses
18% (3/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.45
Throw ins
3227
Fouls
915
Tackles
65% (11/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
0.200.29
Goals prevented
0.20-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Laporte J. 🟨,
  • 30', Fatar N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fatar N. , Lecolier M. ,
  • 58', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Fatou C. , Binet N. (A),
  • 68', Duflos S. , Bultel J. ,
  • 69', Fatou C. , Keita S. ,
  • 69', Pays N. , Mbuku N. ,
  • 70', Issoufou Y. , Fayad K. ,
  • 78', Gourville S. 🟨,
  • 80', El Farissi A. , Martin J. ,
  • 84', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 90', Thiam D. , Kouassi E. ,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
29.7%
Draw
30.3%
Montpellier
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 28.5% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Boulogne - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    3.05
    (3.28)
    2.32
    (2.14)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Boulogne - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 12%65%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Montpellier (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Montpellier (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 25%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 9).
    • In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Martin J. (Leg Injury) Mpembele Boula E. (Inactive) Raillot L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Chennahi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Montpellier were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    Latest results of Boulogne
    03.01.2026 Guingamp - Boulogne 3:0
    15.12.2025 Boulogne - Troyes 1:2
    05.12.2025 Clermont - Boulogne 1:1
    21.11.2025 Boulogne - Grenoble 3:1
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4
    05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3
    13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne29166751:302154
    3Le Mans291411445:291653
    4Reims301212643:281548
    5Red Star29139732:27548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque291010944:35940
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne29981230:38-835
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia293121416:32-1621

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National