Montpellier vs Boulogne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Montpellier - Boulogne
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Montpellier
58.5%
Draw
24.5%
Boulogne
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 17.6% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montpellier that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boulogne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montpellier - Boulogne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.59)
    3.84
    (3.98)
    5.51
    (5.15)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Montpellier has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boulogne's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boulogne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Montpellier
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Boulogne
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Etienne642014:7714
    2Red Star641111:4713
    3Troyes641111:5613
    4Pau FC632110:6411
    5Amiens62319:549
    6Clermont62316:519
    7Montpellier62226:518
    8Annecy62227:708
    9Reims62227:8-18
    10Nancy62226:7-18
    11Rodez62223:6-38
    12Laval61417:9-27
    13Guingamp62139:14-57
    14Dunkerque61329:10-16
    15Le Mans61237:9-25
    16Grenoble61236:9-35
    17Boulogne61052:8-63
    18Bastia60242:8-62

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National