Montpellier vs Grenoble – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.341.20
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
64
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
41
Passes
86% (485/565)78% (284/363)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.341.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.851.01
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1211
Passes
86% (485/565)78% (284/363)
Long passes
51% (28/55)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
62% (74/120)67% (70/104)
Crosses
29% (4/14)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.72
Throw ins
1531
Fouls
1013
Tackles
75% (9/12)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.011.85
Goals prevented
0.01-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Molebe E. , Mendy A. (A),
  • 45', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Mion M. , Delos S. ,
  • 64', Djitte M. , Bonnet U. ,
  • 64', Molebe E. , Issoufou Y. ,
  • 65', Gueguin A. , Fayad K. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Laporte J. ,
  • 72', Maurin E. , Zahui N. ,
  • 72', Mouazan B. , Bernadou L. ,
  • 74', Mbuku N. , Savanier T. ,
  • 78', Xantippe M. 🟨,
  • 79', Xantippe M. , Diba S. ,
  • 81', Sainte-Luce T. , Mincarelli L. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Bonnet U. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
56.4%
Draw
25%
Grenoble
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 26.1% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.6% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Montpellier - Grenoble Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.81)
    3.77
    (3.57)
    5.05
    (4.19)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Montpellier - Grenoble?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 59.8%94.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montpellier will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13).
    • Montpellier is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grenoble is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Delos S. (Inactive) Lallias A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Grenoble were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    10.04.2026 Annecy - Montpellier 0:0
    04.04.2026 Montpellier - Troyes 2:2
    20.03.2026 Pau - Montpellier 0:0
    13.03.2026 Montpellier - Laval 2:0
    06.03.2026 Nancy - Montpellier 0:3
    Latest results of Grenoble
    10.04.2026 Guingamp - Grenoble 1:1
    03.04.2026 Grenoble - Clermont 2:2
    20.03.2026 Laval - Grenoble 3:2
    14.03.2026 Grenoble - Saint-Étienne 0:0
    06.03.2026 Rodez - Grenoble 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National