Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (485/565) | 78% (284/363) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.34 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.85 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (485/565) | 78% (284/363) |
| Long passes |
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| 51% (28/55) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 62% (74/120) | 67% (70/104) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (4/14) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.03 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
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| 15 | 31 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 75% (9/12) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.01 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.01 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Molebe E. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
- 45', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Mion M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
- 64', Djitte M. ↓, Bonnet U. ↑,
- 64', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
- 65', Gueguin A. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Laporte J. ⚽,
- 72', Maurin E. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
- 72', Mouazan B. ↓, Bernadou L. ↑,
- 74', Mbuku N. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 78', Xantippe M. 🟨,
- 79', Xantippe M. ↓, Diba S. ↑,
- 81', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Bonnet U. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montpellier 56.4% | Draw 25% | Grenoble 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Montpellier - Grenoble Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↓ (1.81) |
3.77 ↑ (3.57) |
5.05 ↑ (4.19) |
6.7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Grenoble?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 59.8% – 94.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montpellier will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13).
- Montpellier is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grenoble is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grenoble: Delos S.
(Inactive)
Lallias A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Grenoble?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Montpellier?
Grenoble has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Grenoble were as follows:
13.12.2025
Grenoble
-
Montpellier
1:1
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National