Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 70% (224/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/398) | 70% (224/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (86/133) | 57% (72/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
- 33', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Strzalek I. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
- 63', Selahi L. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
- 68', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
- 72', Jimenez J. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
- 81', Alvarez F. 🟨,
- 82', Isaac C. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 85', Boboc R. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 85', Zapolnik K. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
- 85', Guerrero S. ↓, Matysik M. ↑,
- 86', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 0, Bergier S. ⚽, Fornalczyk M. (A),
- 90+2', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Zyro M. ↑,
- 90+6', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Widzew Łódź
63.5% | Draw
21.8% | Termalica Nieciecza
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-21.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.6) |
4.3 ↑
(3.39) |
6.4 ↑
(4.8) |
6.7%
(12.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza?
Users Predictions:
Widzew Łódź will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Widzew Łódź will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3.
- Widzew has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Termalica is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Widzew is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Widzew: Bukari O.
(Inactive)
Cheng C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Termalica: Hilbrycht D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Kopacz B.
(Inactive)
Kurzawa R.
(Inactive)
Wolski M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Widzew Łódź has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Widzew Łódź?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
04.10.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Widzew Łódź
2:4
24.09.2025
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Widzew Łódź
2:3
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
