Result
5:0
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (553/615) | 71% (202/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (553/615) | 71% (202/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (29/41) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (222/269) | 59% (32/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 4.35 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Douglas Augusto ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
- 24', Rahmanovic A. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Spertsyan E. ⚽, Victor Sa (A),
- 44', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
- 46', Rasskazov N. ↓, Lysov A. ↑,
- 46', Diego Costa ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Spertsyan E. (Pen),
- 61', 4 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Olaza L. (A),
- 63', Douglas Augusto ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 63', Victor Sa ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 69', Marin J. 🟨,
- 69', Vityugov M. ↓, Saveljev D. ↑,
- 70', Marin J. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 72', Krivtsov N. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 72', Joao Batxi ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
- 75', Evgenyev R. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 83', Furtado G. 🟨,
- 84', Khubulov V. 🟨,
- 90', 5 - 0, Tormena ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
73.1% | Draw
17.4% | Krylya Sovetov
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.34) |
5.45 ↑
(4.4) |
9.91 ↑
(9.6) |
5.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 3.
- Krasnodar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Krasnodar is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Chernikov A.
(Yellow Cards)
Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Galdames T.
(Ankle Injury)
Oroz D.
(Yellow Cards)
Rakov V.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Krylya Sovetov?
Krasnodar has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Krasnodar?
Krylya Sovetov has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
17.09.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Krasnodar
1:2
24.08.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Krasnodar
0:6
29.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:2
01.03.2025
Krasnodar
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:1
28.10.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Krasnodar
1:2
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:16 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Zenit | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Baltika | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:9 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Pari NN | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Krylya Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
