Result
2:2
19/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/418) | 59% (136/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/418) | 59% (136/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 35% (26/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (106/151) | 61% (57/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Belikov I. 🟨,
- 22', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 24', Petrov I. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Beveev M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Petrov I. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 46', Belikov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Boselli J. ⚽,
- 62', Boselli J. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Petrov M. ⚽,
- 69', Gassama N. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
- 69', Derik Lacerda ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 69', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 72', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 81', Cobnan M. D. 🟨,
- 85', Kukushkin I. 🟨,
- 90', Petrov M. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 90+1', Joao Batxi ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Jubal Junior ⚽, Cobnan M. D. (A),
- 90+4', Offor C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mendel A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
60.2% | Draw
23.8% | Baltika Kaliningrad
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.65) |
4.03 ↑
(3.47) |
6 ↑
(5.1) |
4.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Baltika will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 and 4).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A.
(Injury)
Lenini K.
(Yellow Cards)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stezhko V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Baltika: Yenne T.
(Injury)
- We predict that Krasnodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Krasnodar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Krasnodar?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
09.11.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Krasnodar
1:1
24.04.2024
Krasnodar
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
3:2
21.10.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Krasnodar
2:2
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
