Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (257/335) | 78% (298/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (257/335) | 78% (298/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/137) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 38', 1 - 0, Martins C. ⚽, Litvinov R. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Spertsyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Jubal Junior 🟨,
- 65', Ugalde M. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 74', Spertsyan E. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 74', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 81', Denisov D. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 81', Martins C. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Jubal Junior ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow
39.5% | Draw
26.3% | Krasnodar
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.48) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
2.81 ↑
(2.52) |
3.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3.
- Spartak M is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Krasnodar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Wooh C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A.
(Injury)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stezhko V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Saus V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Krasnodar?
Spartak Moscow has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Spartak Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar were as follows:
02.11.2025
Krasnodar
-
Spartak Moscow
2:1
30.01.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
3:2
01.12.2024
Krasnodar
-
Spartak Moscow
0:3
19.10.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
0:3
11.05.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:0
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
