Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
45.4% | Draw
29.9% | Marítimo
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Casa Pia - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.79) |
3.19 ↓
(3.49) |
3.79 ↓
(4.16) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.77%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.88%), project points - 27, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 43, small importance 22, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Marítimo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Rafael Martins
(Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Marítimo?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Casa Pia?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Marítimo were as follows:
03.10.2022
Marítimo
-
Casa Pia
1:2
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
