Nice vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.84
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (315/387)85% (437/512)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.21
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
81% (315/387)85% (437/512)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)74% (71/96)
Crosses
28% (5/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.98
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1414
Tackles
79% (11/14)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.211.20
Goals prevented
0.210.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Mbow M. 🟨,
  • 23', Abdul Samed S. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Diop S. , Cho M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abdul Samed S. , Boudaoui H. ,
  • 46', Abdi A. , Bard M. ,
  • 68', Cho M. , Jansson I. ,
  • 68', Kebbal I. , Ikone J. ,
  • 75', Moffi T. , Boga J. ,
  • 78', Boudaoui H. , Sanson M. ,
  • 78', Camara A. , Krasso J. ,
  • 78', Geubbels W. , Dicko N. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Krasso J. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Simon M. , Sangui N. ,
  • 90+2', Traore H. , Cafaro M. ,

Chances of winning


Nice
49.7%
Draw
25.4%
Paris FC
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 26.1% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 28.1% 23.4%

Nice - Paris FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.96
(1.95)
3.8
(3.64)
3.84
(3.78)
3.4%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 26.2%69%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nice
    24.09.2025 Nice - Roma 1:2
    20.09.2025 Brest - Nice 4:1
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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