Result
0:5
14/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 3.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (501/588) | 85% (351/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 3.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 3.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (501/588) | 85% (351/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (73/111) | 72% (57/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.88 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | 1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Said W. ⚽, Edouard O. (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Said W. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
- 45+4', Said W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 48', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 3, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Koleosho L. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
- 69', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 69', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 74', Otavio ↓, Mbow M. ↑,
- 74', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 74', Munetsi M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 81', Lopez M. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
- 83', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 84', Matondo R. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 4, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
- 90+1', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 90+1', Udol M. ↓, Masuaku A. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 5, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
Chances of winning
Paris FC
24.4% | Draw
27% | Lens
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Paris FC - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↓
(4.03) |
3.53 ↓
(3.71) |
1.96 ↑
(1.85) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lens?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Paris FC (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Lens (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Lens (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Lens (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(55 of 63 users predict this - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.08% – 95.52%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Lens (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.
- Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lens is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
Gueye L.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Riou R.
(Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R.
(Red Card)
Antonio K.
(Foot Injury)
Baidoo S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lens?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Paris FC?
Lens has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lens were as follows:
19.10.2025
Lens
-
Paris FC
2:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
