Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/431) | 80% (329/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (346/431) | 80% (329/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 22% (11/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (78/125) | 69% (67/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
- 30', Cleworth M. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, James M. ⚽,
- 60', Brewster R. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 60', Agyemang P. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 60', Thompson L. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
- 60', Elder C. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 65', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
- 69', James M. 🟨,
- 73', Sanderson D. 🟨,
- 75', Broadhead N. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
- 81', Sanderson D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 90', Smith S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90', Thomason G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
41.9% | Draw
30.7% | Wrexham
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Derby County - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.17) |
3.07 ↓
(3.37) |
3.43 ↑
(3.33) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.9% – 64.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Derby (3.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Derby (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Derby (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- Recent performances by Derby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wrexham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Derby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L.
(Thigh Injury)
Hardie R.
(Knee Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
Kabore I.
(International duty)
Lee E.
(Knee Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K.
(Injury)
Windass J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Wrexham?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Derby County?
Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Wrexham were as follows:
27.09.2025
Wrexham
-
Derby County
1:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 93:45 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 81 |
| 3 | Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 62:49 | 13 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 70:45 | 25 | 79 |
| 5 | Southampton ✔ | 45 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 79:55 | 24 | 77 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 67:63 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Hull | 45 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 68:65 | 3 | 70 |
| 8 | Derby | 45 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 66:57 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 62:54 | 8 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 56:55 | 1 | 63 |
| 11 | Swansea | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 54:58 | -4 | 61 |
| 12 | Preston | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54:59 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 59 |
| 14 | QPR | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 61:70 | -9 | 58 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 57 |
| 16 | Watford | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 53:61 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 51:54 | -3 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 48:63 | -15 | 54 |
| 19 | Charlton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 43:55 | -12 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42:55 | -13 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 47:56 | -9 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 45:57 | -12 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57:68 | -11 | 43 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 45 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 27:88 | -61 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
