Atlético de Rafaela vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 1611
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 20', Utrera N. , Morales L. ,
  • 45', Kucich M. , Oneto T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Leineker C. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 53', Vivas J. , Di Buo I. ,
  • 53', Villacorta F. , Amarilla C. ,
  • 59', Affranchino F. , Jaime D. ,
  • 66', Ramirez D. , Groba G. ,
  • 73', Leineker C. , Protti I. ,
  • 73', Pastorelli A. , Alfano A. ,
  • 73', Albertengo L. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 73', Coacci E. , Murialdo A. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Espejo L. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
48.1%
Draw
31.7%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 30.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 32.9% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.97)
    2.88
    (2.94)
    4.53
    (3.97)
    9.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela 0:0
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )