Atlético de Rafaela vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 1611
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 20', Utrera N. , Morales L. ,
  • 45', Kucich M. , Oneto T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Leineker C. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 53', Vivas J. , Di Buo I. ,
  • 53', Villacorta F. , Amarilla C. ,
  • 59', Affranchino F. , Jaime D. ,
  • 66', Ramirez D. , Groba G. ,
  • 73', Leineker C. , Protti I. ,
  • 73', Pastorelli A. , Alfano A. ,
  • 73', Albertengo L. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 73', Coacci E. , Murialdo A. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Espejo L. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
48.1%
Draw
31.7%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 30.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 32.9% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.97)
    2.88
    (2.94)
    4.53
    (3.97)
    9.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela 0:0
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Deportivo Rincon61326:7-16
    7Argentino MM51312:3-16
    8San Martin Mendoza61321:4-36
    9Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Villa Mitre61323:306
    7Germinal51313:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )