Argentino Monte Maíz vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Coronas E. , Amaya I. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', Medina R. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Baier G. ,
  • 54', Iturrieta J. , Ciavarelli I. ,
  • 54', Dauria M. , Guglielmo A. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Lentini R. ,
  • 71', Lentini R. , Tejada J. ,
  • 71', Oballes P. , Larrea L. ,
  • 71', Correa M. , Perrig U. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Barbero M. ,
  • 89', Vera M. , Sarmiento G. ,

Chances of winning


Argentino Monte Maíz
67%
Draw
23.6%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 25.2% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24.5% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentino Monte Maíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino Monte Maíz's performance.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino Monte Maíz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)
    4.07
    (3.6)
    10.25
    (5.66)
    4.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Argentino MM is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Argentino MM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentino Monte Maíz - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Argentino Monte Maíz 0:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig33008:449
    2Independiente Chivilcoy32017:436
    3Defensores Belgrano VR32017:526
    4El Linqueno32014:406
    5Sportivo Belgrano31203:035
    69 de Julio Rafaela31114:6-24
    7Sportivo Las Parejas30212:3-12
    8Atletico Escobar30123:5-21
    9Gimnasia E.R30122:5-31
    10Chivilcoy30121:5-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana22005:236
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre31111:104
    5Sol de America21012:203
    6Boca Unidos31025:6-13
    7San Martin Formosa21012:3-13
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda30122:5-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava31204:135
    2Juventud U.U31203:125
    3Deportivo Rincon21104:224
    4Cipolletti31115:414
    5San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    6Biblioteca Atenas21013:213
    7Huracan Las Heras30211:3-22
    8Argentino MM30210:2-22
    9Fundacion Amigos20112:5-31


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca22004:046
    2Sol de Mayo31203:125
    3Kimberley31201:015
    4Alvarado31112:204
    5Villa Mitre21012:113
    6Circulo Deportivo21012:3-13
    7Germinal30212:3-12
    8Santamarina30212:4-22
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )