Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 11:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/331) | 83% (346/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 3.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (260/331) | 83% (346/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 67% (70/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.37 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Lacazette A. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Al Absi K. ⚽, Okou T. (A),
- 21', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 21', Hegazy A. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 2, Hegazy A. ⚽, Zeze N. (A),
- 38', Abdi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Harfi A. ↓, Al Boardi O. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
- 63', Okou T. 🟨,
- 63', Al Saeed M. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
- 70', Al Absi K. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 70', Soro I. ↓, Al Bishi N. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez L. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
- 76', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Doucoure A. (Own goal),
- 82', Okou T. ↓, Suhluli M. ↑,
- 90+1', Bouabre S. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Riyadh
25.2% | Draw
25.8% | Neom
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neom's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Al-Riyadh - Neom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.09) |
3.61 ↑
(3.47) |
1.91 ↓
(2.12) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Neom?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Neom will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Neom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Neom?
Al-Riyadh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Riyadh?
Neom has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Neom were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Neom SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Hilal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Ahli SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Hazem | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Damac | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Najma | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Okhdood | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
