Result
1:0
06/02/2026 at 09:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (493/556) | 79% (258/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (493/556) | 79% (258/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/139) | 62% (52/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Al Khaibari A. I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Lacazette A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
- 59', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
- 62', Noor A. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
- 65', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
- 73', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
- 73', Okou T. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
- 74', Al Faraj S. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez L. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
- 77', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 84', Abdu A. 🟨,
- 86', Haroun S. 🟨,
- 88', Al Khaibari A. I. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Dawsari K. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
- 90+1', Benrahma S. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
- 90+1', Borjan M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Al Harfi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neom
65.6% | Draw
20% | Al-Riyadh
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neom's performance.Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Neom - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.53) |
4.68 ↑
(4.01) |
6.41 ↑
(5.46) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Riyadh?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Neom (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Neom will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Neom has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Riyadh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Neom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neom is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Riyadh?
Neom has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Neom?
Al-Riyadh has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
27.09.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Neom
2:3
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
