Napoli vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoTDM TV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, Sport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.30
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (459/508)90% (444/495)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.66
Total shots
128
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
916
Passes
90% (459/508)90% (444/495)
Long passes
62% (24/39)55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
73% (85/116)79% (85/107)
Crosses
20% (3/15)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.72
Throw-ins
1113
Fouls
169
Tackles
56% (10/18)67% (16/24)
Duels won
4459
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.661.13
Goals prevented
0.66-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Hojlund R. , De Bruyne K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Trincao , Goncalves P. ,
  • 46', Catamo G. , Suarez L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Suarez L. (Pen),
  • 67', Quaresma E. , Debast Z. ,
  • 67', Ioannidis F. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 69', Politano M. , David Neres ,
  • 69', McTominay S. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Simoes J. , Morita H. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. , De Bruyne K. (A),
  • 81', Gutierrez M. , Olivera M. ,
  • 81', De Bruyne K. , Gilmour B. ,
  • 90', Hojlund R. , Lucca L. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
56%
Draw
27.6%
Sporting Lisbon
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.7% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.2% 22.2%

Napoli - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.85)
3.87
(3.72)
6.98
(4.23)
-6.2%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Napoli (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Napoli (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Napoli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Napoli (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Napoli (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Napoli (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Napoli (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Napoli (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Napoli (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Napoli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Napoli (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Napoli (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Napoli (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (56 of 70 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.63%89.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (28 of 37 users predict this - 75.68%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 54 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Sporting (votes: 6 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Napoli is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Thigh Injury) Contini N. (Hand Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Red Card) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Diomande O. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Napoli
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2
    18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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