Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (271/362) | 82% (360/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (271/362) | 82% (360/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (81/130) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.85 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Thiam D. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Haag G. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Capuano G. ⚽, Platret A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Eickmayer J. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 62', Durand D. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Durivaux D. ⚽, Cisse K. (A),
- 65', Capuano G. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 65', Pinot A. ↓, Gourville S. ↑,
- 77', El Farissi A. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 77', Duflos S. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
- 82', Ikanga J. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 90+3', Cisse K. ↓, Kany V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boulogne
28.1% | Draw
30.9% | Red Star
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Boulogne - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3.32) |
3.03 ↓
(3.25) |
2.3 ↑
(2.2) |
5.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Red Star will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
- Recent performances by Boulogne have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Red Star is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Boulogne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
Hachem A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Red Star?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Boulogne?
Red Star has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Red Star were as follows:
Latest results of Boulogne
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
