Lech Poznań vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien
Result
4:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
189
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Long passes
53% (30/57)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
71% (84/119)68% (68/100)
Crosses
17% (2/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.62
Throw-ins
2424
Fouls
918
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.683.77
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 34', Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Radulovic A. ⚽, Horn J. (A),
  • 65', Grgic L. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
  • 65', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
  • 68', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
  • 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 68', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
  • 76', Lisman K. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
  • 80', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
  • 80', Amane R. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
  • 81', Ismaheel T. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
  • 84', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndzie M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fiabema B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
40.8%		Draw
26.4%		Rapid Wien
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.41)    		 3.59 ↑
    (3.34)    		 2.9 ↑
    (2.81)    		 5.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 27.4% – 68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rapid (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) Groller A. (Knock) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R. (Leg Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺
    12.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    28.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Austria Wien 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Grazer AK - Rapid Wien 1:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Oberwart - Rapid Wien 1:2
    14.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol 4:1 ✺
    05.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Venezia 1:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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