Result
4:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Canal+ |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 16 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 80% (326/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 80% (326/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (84/119) | 68% (68/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 34', Ishak M. (Pen),
- 45+2', 3 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Radulovic A. ⚽, Horn J. (A),
- 65', Grgic L. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
- 65', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 68', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
- 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 68', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
- 76', Lisman K. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 1, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
- 80', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
- 80', Amane R. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
- 81', Ismaheel T. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 84', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 87', Ndzie M. 🟨,
- 88', Ouma T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Fiabema B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
40.8% | Draw
26.4% | Rapid Wien
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.41) |
3.59 ↑
(3.34) |
2.9 ↑
(2.81) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 27.4% – 68.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 3 - 30%). Rapid (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lech (1.42) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Rapid (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Dahl P.
(Muscle Injury)
Groller A.
(Knock)
Marcelin J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Strunz O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Rapid Wien?
Lech Poznań has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Lech Poznań?
Rapid Wien has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien were as follows:
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
