Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (565/633) | 76% (203/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (565/633) | 76% (203/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (31/44) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (131/176) | 56% (50/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 1, Ouotro P. ⚽,
- 58', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 58', Ott G. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Gomis D. ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
- 63', Carlier M. 🟨,
- 67', Bouriaud T. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
- 67', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
- 70', Carlier M. 🟨,
- 75', Ouotro P. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Fdaouch Z. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
- 79', Sidibe K. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 79', Kielt S. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
- 90+2', Ourega D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gomis D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 90+7', Fernandez N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
31.2% | Draw
30.4% | Nancy
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nancy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+17.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nancy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guingamp - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↑
(1.97) |
3.41 ↓
(3.6) |
2.61 ↓
(3.35) |
-5.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
- Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nancy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nancy: Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Mendy E.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Ouotro P.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Nancy?
Guingamp has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Guingamp?
Nancy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Nancy were as follows:
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
