Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 72% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (25/30) | 70% (32/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 28% (5/18) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 17% (5/30) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 20% (3/15) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 82% (37/45) | 58% (37/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 18% (8/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (64/109) | 41% (45/109) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
90.1% | Brandon Nakashima
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.06 ↓
(1.08) |
|
10.26 ↑
(8) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Brandon Nakashima?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Brandon Nakashima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
