Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
0 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
0 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Maria G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naval 35.7% | Draw 29.3% | Marinhense 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naval's performance.Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marinhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naval that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marinhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naval - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↓ (3.24) |
3.08 ↓ (3.5) |
2.58 ↑ (2.02) |
10.9% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 7).
- Recent performances by Naval have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marinhense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against Marinhense?
Naval has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Naval?
Marinhense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Marinhense were as follows:
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 15 |
2 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 12 |
3 | Uniao Da Serra | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Peniche | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Mortagua | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
6 | SB Castelo Branco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
7 | Lajense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Marinhense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
9 | SC Lusitania | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
10 | Os Marialvas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Fatima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Samora Correia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
13 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Electrico | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation