Marinhense vs Peniche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
44
Total shots
94
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Marinhense
42.1%
Draw
29.5%
Peniche
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.5% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.9% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Marinhense - Peniche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.39)
    3.06
    (3.05)
    3.18
    (2.75)
    11%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2.
    • Marinhense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Peniche has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Peniche were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Peniche - Marinhense 0:1
    06.04.2025 Marinhense - Peniche 1:1
    15.12.2024 Peniche - Marinhense 2:0
    14.01.2024 Marinhense - Peniche 3:0
    09.09.2023 Peniche - Marinhense 2:1
    Latest results of Marinhense
    Latest results of Peniche
    21.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Peniche 1:1
    14.12.2025 Peniche - União da Serra 3:2
    29.11.2025 Peniche - Eléctrico 0:3
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to