Fakel vs Volga Ulyanovsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Umnikov M. ,
  • 32', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 45', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 45', Umnikov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Rudenko V. , Kamenshchikov D. ,
  • 59', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 59', Magomedov B. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 68', Umnikov M. , Kostin A. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Murza A. ,
  • 80', Kovalev A. 🟨,
  • 81', Pusi B. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 84', Voronin E. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 85', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 90+2', Obukhov I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
59.5%
Draw
26%
Volga Ulyanovsk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 25% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.5% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.55)
    3.65
    (3.79)
    6.68
    (6.71)
    4%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Volga Ulyanovsk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fakel
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh1493213:8530
    2S. Kostroma1485122:13929
    3R. Volgograd1474320:71325
    4Ural1373321:15624
    5Chelyabinsk1365218:10823
    6Kamaz1465322:15723
    7Rodina Moscow1465321:13823
    8SKA Khabarovsk1454515:16-119
    9Neftekhimik1446415:16-118
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1445510:11-117
    11Arsenal Tula1437420:18216
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1443718:19-115
    13Yenisey1435611:16-514
    14Ufa1427515:16-113
    15Ulyanovsk1433815:27-1212
    16FK Chayka1425712:28-1611
    17Saratov141768:16-810
    18Torpedo Moscow1424810:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation