Fakel vs Volga Ulyanovsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Umnikov M. ,
  • 32', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 45', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 45', Umnikov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Rudenko V. , Kamenshchikov D. ,
  • 59', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 59', Magomedov B. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 68', Umnikov M. , Kostin A. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Murza A. ,
  • 80', Kovalev A. 🟨,
  • 81', Pusi B. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 84', Voronin E. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 85', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 90+2', Obukhov I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
59.5%
Draw
26%
Volga Ulyanovsk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 25% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.5% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.55)
    3.63
    (3.79)
    6.52
    (6.71)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Volga Ulyanovsk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fakel
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural27146741:271448
    4R. Volgograd27119735:221342
    5S. Kostroma271011638:32641
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk27911735:29638
    8Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    9Arsenal Tula27811837:33435
    10SKA Khabarovsk27810929:35-634
    11Torpedo Moscow27971128:33-534
    12Yenisey27810923:31-834
    13Shinnik Yaroslavl27712822:23-133
    14Ulyanovsk27871231:40-931
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk27781231:37-629
    16Ufa27691229:35-627
    17FK Chayka27471625:59-3419
    18Saratov272101512:35-2316

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation