Chester vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Zanzala O. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Handley T. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Chester
70.6%
Draw
17.2%
Merthyr Town
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 21.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 20.8% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chester's performance.
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chester that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Chester - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.47)
    6.21
    (4.28)
    8.74
    (5.77)
    -2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chester - Merthyr Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 8).
    • Chester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Merthyr has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Chester
    27.09.2025 Chester - Curzon Ashton 5:1
    20.09.2025 Darlington - Chester 1:1
    02.09.2025 Fylde - Chester 2:2
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields34238376:294777
    2AFC Fylde34243783:374675
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Kidderminster331611645:351059
    5Darlington341681065:491656
    6Macclesfield32167958:471155
    7Radcliffe351741463:55855
    8Scarborough3614121049:44554
    9AFC Telford3514111068:482053
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton31881530:56-2632
    23Hereford29781435:50-1529
    24Leamington34572225:60-3522

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation