Mingachevir vs Shahdag Qusar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kalunga K. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Voronsov R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mingachevir
56.6%
Draw
25.9%
Shahdag Qusar
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24.4% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Mingachevir - Shahdag Qusar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.62)
    3.5
    (3.75)
    5.18
    (4.79)
    10.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 8).
    • Mingachevir has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shahdag has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Mingachevir is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Shahdag Qusar were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir 0:0
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    18.12.2025 Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir 1:1
    10.12.2025 Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl 2:0
    20.11.2025 MOIK Baku - Mingachevir 0:3
    05.11.2025 Mingachevir - Şəfa 2:3
    Latest results of Shahdag Qusar
    18.12.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Səbail 2:2
    27.11.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa 0:2
    20.11.2025 Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar 1:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku16106038:122636
    2Baku Sporting1696125:131233
    3Mingachevir1685328:151329
    4Sabail1676319:12727
    5Sahdag Qusar1673625:22324
    6Zaqatala1663717:19-221
    7MOIK Baku1653817:23-618
    8Cebrayil16411127:33-613
    9Difai Agsu16331022:39-1712
    10Shimal16221214:44-308

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