Result
7:1
29/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Muradov K. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 55', 3 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 65', 4 - 0, Bayramov F. ⚽,
- 78', 5 - 0, Mustafayev E. ⚽,
- 80', 6 - 0, Abba U. ⚽,
- 85', 6 - 1, Mahmudov D. ⚽,
- 90', 7 - 1, Jafarli R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mingachevir 75.9% | Draw 15.8% | Zagatala 8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagatala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagatala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mingachevir - Zagatala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.25 ↓ (1.38) |
6.04 ↑ (4.35) |
11.48 ↑ (6.5) |
5% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mingachevir - Zagatala?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mingachevir will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2.
- Mingachevir is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zagatala's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mingachevir is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Zagatala?
Mingachevir has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagatala won against Mingachevir?
Zagatala has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Zagatala were as follows:
13.02.2026
Mingachevir
-
Zagatala
0:0
23.10.2025
Zagatala
-
Mingachevir
2:3
03.04.2025
Mingachevir
-
Zagatala
2:2
31.01.2025
Zagatala
-
Mingachevir
2:1
30.10.2024
Mingachevir
-
Zagatala
1:0
Latest results of Mingachevir
Latest results of Zagatala
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League