Mingachevir vs Zagatala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:1
29/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Muradov K. ,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Kalunga K. ,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 1)
  • 55', 3 - 0, Kalunga K. ,
  • 65', 4 - 0, Bayramov F. ,
  • 78', 5 - 0, Mustafayev E. ,
  • 80', 6 - 0, Abba U. ,
  • 85', 6 - 1, Mahmudov D. ,
  • 90', 7 - 1, Jafarli R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Mingachevir
75.9%
Draw
15.8%
Zagatala
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.7% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 20% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.
  • Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagatala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagatala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mingachevir - Zagatala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.38)
    6.04
    (4.35)
    11.48
    (6.5)
    5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mingachevir - Zagatala?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mingachevir will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2.
    • Mingachevir is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zagatala's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Mingachevir is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Zagatala were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Mingachevir - Zagatala 0:0
    23.10.2025 Zagatala - Mingachevir 2:3
    03.04.2025 Mingachevir - Zagatala 2:2
    31.01.2025 Zagatala - Mingachevir 2:1
    30.10.2024 Mingachevir - Zagatala 1:0
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    22.04.2026 Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir 2:1
    16.04.2026 Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu 2:1
    09.04.2026 Shimal - Mingachevir 0:3
    03.04.2026 Mingachevir - Şəfa 5:2
    Latest results of Zagatala
    22.04.2026 Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar 0:1
    15.04.2026 MOIK Baku - Zagatala 2:1
    08.04.2026 Cəbrayıl - Zagatala 3:2
    02.04.2026 Zagatala - Difai Ağsu 1:0
    19.03.2026 Shimal - Zagatala 0:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

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