Marbellí vs Atlético Porcuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Marbellí
52.2%
Draw
27.8%
Atlético Porcuna
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 29.1% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The chances for Atlético Porcuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.73)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    4.56
    (4.54)
    9.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Recent performances by Marbellí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Porcuna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Marbellí is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Atlético Porcuna - Marbellí 1:0
    Latest results of Marbellí
    01.02.2026 Marbellí - El Palo 1:1
    25.01.2026 UD San Pedro - Marbellí 1:0
    18.01.2026 Marbellí - Alhaurino 2:1
    11.01.2026 Marbellí - Torredonjimeno 3:0
    04.01.2026 Granada B - Marbellí 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril301610450:262458
    2Mijas Las Lagunas30168634:191556
    3Arenas Armilla30149734:231151
    4Torre del Mar301312533:211251
    5Churriana de la Vega30129928:35-745
    6Marbelli301281031:25644
    7Torredonjimeno301111836:34244
    8Huetor Vega301181137:36141
    9Atletico de Porcuna301241435:33240
    10Granada CF B30912940:38239
    11UD San Pedro301091131:33-239
    12CD Alhaurino30991235:38-336
    13Melilla B308111123:24-135
    14Huetor Tajar308101236:39-334
    15Martos308101230:37-734
    16Mancha30881424:32-832
    17CD Torreperogil30761720:40-2027
    18El Palo30581724:48-2423

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