Result
2:2
13/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 22
- Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Bratley C. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,
- 28', Marriott Ch. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 39', Mooney P. 🟨,
- 44', Smith D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Bradley S. ↓, Roberts O. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Hughes R. ⚽,
- 75', Owen M. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Mooney P. ⚽,
- 85', West C. ↓, Redshaw F. ↑,
- 85', Sharif A. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
30.3% | Draw
26.5% | Gap Connahs Quay
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.29) |
3.47 ↑
(3.33) |
2.13 ↓
(2.86) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Connahs Quay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gap Connahs Quay will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- Connahs Quay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
- Caernarfon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Connahs Quay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Caernarfon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:52. (average 1.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caernarfon Town?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
23.09.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
03.12.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
28.09.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:1
17.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
3:2
15.03.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 59:19 | 40 | 53 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 48:25 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | Penybont | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 44:32 | 12 | 34 |
| 5 | Barry | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 10 | Bala | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 23 |
| 11 | Flint | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12:59 | -47 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
