Result
2:4
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Petch M. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Franklin H. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 2, Hughes R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Bratley C. 🟨,
- 41', Lewis I. 🟨,
- 45', Gosset D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', Jones J. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 3, Edwards N. ⚽,
- 68', Young B. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 68', Gosset D. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 4, Franklin H. ⚽,
- 74', Sharif A. 🟨,
- 79', Hughes R. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
- 85', Owen R. 🟨,
- 87', Bradley S. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 89', West C. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 4, Owen R. ⚽,
- 90+4', Franklin H. ↓, Redshaw F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
34.4% | Draw
25.7% | Gap Connahs Quay
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.89) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
2.32 ↑
(2.23) |
8.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.
- Caernarfon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Connahs Quay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:51. (average 1.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caernarfon Town?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
06.02.2026
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
13.01.2026
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:2
23.09.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
03.12.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
28.09.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:1
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 74:22 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 53 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 4 | Penybont | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 40 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 51:41 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Barry | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
