Result
2:2
23/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (558/652) | 65% (161/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (558/652) | 65% (161/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (140/193) | 45% (29/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Guerra N. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 62', Sepulveda M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Di Yorio L. ⚽,
- 66', Perez G. 🟨,
- 79', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 80', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 83', Salvio E. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 85', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 86', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 89', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bou W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Medina A. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 90+4', Perez G. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+8', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 90+8', Losada N. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
37.6% | Draw
32.9% | Lanús
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Universidad de Chile - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.55) |
2.86 ↓
(3.04) |
3.25 ↑
(2.89) |
5.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Lanús?
Universidad de Chile has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Universidad de Chile?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Lanús were as follows:
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 11 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Huracan | |
| 13 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 15 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | U. De Chile | Lanus | 2 : 2 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1 |
Final
