Kastrioti vs Iliria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian First Division Kastrioti - Iliria
Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH 2
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Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Hoxha E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 77', 1 - 1, Pjetraj F. ,
  • 87', Gjinollari D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Kastrioti
51.5%
Draw
25.8%
Iliria
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 27.8% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 27.1% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kastrioti's performance.
  • Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iliria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastrioti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iliria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kastrioti - Iliria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.87)
    3.53
    (3.25)
    4.01
    (2.22)
    9.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
    • Kastrioti is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Iliria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Iliria has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Kastrioti
    15.10.2025 Kastrioti - Devolli 3:2
    04.10.2025 Lushnja - Kastrioti 3:2
    20.09.2025 Apolonia Fier - Kastrioti 2:0
    30.08.2025 Laçi - Kastrioti 3:1
    Latest results of Iliria
    15.10.2025 Iliria - Luzi United 5:1
    04.10.2025 Iliria - Besa Kavajë 2:1
    20.09.2025 Iliria - Kukësi 1:0
    30.08.2025 Iliria - Pogradeci 0:0
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu871013:11222
    2Laci851215:51016
    3Iliria Fushe-Kruje84229:8114
    4Pogradeci833211:6512
    5Apolonia Fier83329:7212
    6Burreli83237:13-611
    7Korabi Peshkopi82427:5210
    8AF Luftetari81529:10-18
    9Lushnja81527:9-28
    10Kukesi81256:16-105
    11Besa Kavaje80446:10-44
    12Kastrioti80446:15-94

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation