Real Sociedad B vs Burgos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Anoeta (San Sebastian).

LaLiga2 - Round 38
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.77	0.35
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Passes
80% (324/407)	81% (350/433)
Yellow cards
4	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.77	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	0.10
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
7	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
18	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
10	22
Passes
80% (324/407)	81% (350/433)
Long passes
53% (40/76)	52% (38/73)
Passes in final third
66% (95/145)	71% (78/110)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	0.48
Throw ins
27	12
Fouls
22	10
Tackles
67% (8/12)	63% (19/30)
Duels won
44	71
Clearances
13	29
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.10	1.00
Goals prevented
0.10	1.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Aguirre I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
55', Cordoba I. 🟨,
68', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
69', Aguirre I. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
69', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
72', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
72', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
80', Carbonell T. 🟨,
83', Carrera G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
83', Astiazaran L. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
86', Galdames P. 🟨,
88', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
90+1', Balda J. ↓, Agote U. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Sociedad B
31.2%

Draw
30.7%

Burgos
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Real Sociedad B - Burgos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.71)	3.06 ↓ (3.26)	2.48 ↓ (2.61)	6.5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Burgos?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Burgos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Burgos (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1.
Real Sociedad B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad B won against Burgos?

Real Sociedad B has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Real Sociedad B?

Burgos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Burgos were as follows:

25.10.2025 Burgos - Real Sociedad B 1:0

Latest results of Real Sociedad B

29.04.2026 Real Sociedad B - Borussia Dortmund II 0:2 ✺

25.04.2026 Valladolid - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

17.04.2026 Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander 1:3 ✺

10.04.2026 Ceuta - Real Sociedad B 0:0 ✺

06.04.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Burgos

25.04.2026 Burgos - Deportivo La Coruña 1:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Castellón - Burgos 3:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Burgos - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Albacete Balompié - Burgos 2:3 ✺

01.04.2026 Burgos - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	38	22	6	10	79:57	22	72
2	Dep. La Coruna	38	19	11	8	59:41	18	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	74:56	18	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	65:48	17	64
5	Malaga	38	18	9	11	66:49	17	63
6	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	49:31	18	63
7	Burgos CF	38	17	11	10	44:33	11	62
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	47:36	11	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	54:56	-2	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	56:48	8	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	46:58	-12	54
12	Gijon	38	15	7	16	51:49	2	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	49:51	-2	50
14	Granada CF	38	12	12	14	48:49	-1	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	40:48	-8	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	41:46	-5	42
17	Real Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	46:54	-8	42
18	Cadiz CF	38	10	9	19	36:55	-19	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	40:60	-20	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	39:59	-20	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	33:51	-18	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	35:62	-27	33

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation