Result
1:1
01/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 33
- Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 3, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/418) | 82% (340/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (347/418) | 82% (340/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (68/103) | 71% (97/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Bassinga A. ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Exposito M. (A),
- 45+1', Exposito M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Exposito M. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 46', Sanchez M. ↓, Zalazar K. ↑,
- 46', Bassinga A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
- 63', Garcia F. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
- 68', Luengo O. 🟨,
- 71', Cordoba I. ↓, Curro ↑,
- 71', Gonzalez M. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
- 73', Youness 🟨,
- 81', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 81', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
- 81', Martinez B. ↓, Miguel F. ↑,
- 88', Illescas M. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
- 90', Ahmed A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yw26mw6y
Chances of winning
Burgos
51.6% | Draw
29.4% | Ceuta
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burgos - Ceuta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.97) |
3.2 ↓
(3.46) |
4.9 ↑
(3.84) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burgos - Ceuta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Burgos (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Burgos (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Burgos (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Ceuta (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Burgos will win
(57 of 63 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.23% – 97.73%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Ceuta (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- Burgos has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ceuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Burgos is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Burgos: Appin K.
(International duty)
Atienza M.
(Yellow Cards)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Nino F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar
(Injury)
Domenech M.
(Injury)
Jamelli
(Ankle Injury)
Sanchez S.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Zalazar K.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Ceuta?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Burgos?
Ceuta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Ceuta were as follows:
29.11.2025
Ceuta
-
Burgos
1:0
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 75:55 | 20 | 69 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 3 | Almeria | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 74:56 | 18 | 67 |
| 4 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 49:31 | 18 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 61 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Gijon | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 50:47 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Ceuta | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 44:57 | -13 | 51 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37:55 | -18 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40:60 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
