Marbellí vs Churriana de la Vega – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Marbellí
58%
Draw
27.2%
Churriana de la Vega
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 29.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 28.8% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbellí's performance.
  • Churriana de la Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbellí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Churriana de la Vega than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Marbellí - Churriana de la Vega Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.77)
    3.35
    (3.12)
    6.19
    (4.7)
    9.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Marbellí - Churriana de la Vega?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Marbellí (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marbellí (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)
    • Marbellí is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Churriana de la Vega has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Marbellí is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Churriana de la Vega were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Churriana de la Vega - Marbellí 1:0
    Latest results of Marbellí
    22.02.2026 Torreperogil - Marbellí 0:2
    01.02.2026 Marbellí - El Palo 1:1
    25.01.2026 UD San Pedro - Marbellí 1:0
    18.01.2026 Marbellí - Alhaurino 2:1
    Latest results of Churriana de la Vega
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas33198642:202265
    2Motril321710553:282561
    3Torre del Mar331413636:241255
    4Arenas Armilla33159937:271054
    5Torredonjimeno331311939:36350
    6Churriana de la Vega3313101030:40-1049
    7Marbelli331391134:28648
    8UD San Pedro3312101137:36146
    9Atletico de Porcuna331441540:37346
    10Granada CF B3310131045:43243
    11Huetor Vega331191339:42-342
    12CD Alhaurino331191340:40042
    13Melilla B329111229:29038
    14Martos339101432:44-1237
    15Mancha33991529:37-836
    16Huetor Tajar338101537:43-634
    17CD Torreperogil33861922:44-2230
    18El Palo33691828:51-2327

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