Marbellí vs Atlético Porcuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Marbellí
52.2%
Draw
27.8%
Atlético Porcuna
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.5% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 29.1% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The chances for Atlético Porcuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.73)
    3.27
    (3.31)
    4.56
    (4.54)
    9.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Recent performances by Marbellí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Porcuna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Marbellí is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Atlético Porcuna - Marbellí 1:0
    Latest results of Marbellí
    01.02.2026 Marbellí - El Palo 1:1
    25.01.2026 UD San Pedro - Marbellí 1:0
    18.01.2026 Marbellí - Alhaurino 2:1
    11.01.2026 Marbellí - Torredonjimeno 3:0
    04.01.2026 Granada B - Marbellí 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas33198642:202265
    2Motril321710553:282561
    3Torre del Mar331413636:241255
    4Arenas Armilla33159937:271054
    5Torredonjimeno331311939:36350
    6Churriana de la Vega3313101030:40-1049
    7Marbelli331391134:28648
    8UD San Pedro3312101137:36146
    9Atletico de Porcuna331441540:37346
    10Granada CF B3310131045:43243
    11Huetor Vega331191339:42-342
    12CD Alhaurino331191340:40042
    13Melilla B329111229:29038
    14Martos339101432:44-1237
    15Mancha33991529:37-836
    16Huetor Tajar338101537:43-634
    17CD Torreperogil33861922:44-2230
    18El Palo33691828:51-2327

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