New Mexico United vs Rhode Island – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.96
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (369/442)81% (293/363)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.56
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
83% (369/442)81% (293/363)
Long passes
48% (20/42)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
66% (49/74)64% (63/99)
Crosses
33% (3/9)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.42
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1514
Tackles
80% (4/5)75% (9/12)
Duels won
2843
Clearances
1413
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.561.51
Goals prevented
0.56-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Bruce D. , Hurst G. ,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Akale M. , Noel V. (A),
  • 35', Dikwa A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Bacharach Capdevila H. , Mabika A. (A),
  • 41', Ybarra M. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ybarra M. , Williams J. ,
  • 60', Bailey Z. , Jabang O. ,
  • 60', Mabika A. , Herivaux Z. ,
  • 60', Dikwa A. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 61', Harris D. , Rivas S. ,
  • 77', Hurst G. , Archimede L. ,
  • 77', Noel V. , Lindsey J. ,
  • 77', Nodarse F. , Rovira D. ,
  • 77', Kwizera J. , Rovira D. ,
  • 82', Williams J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
41.1%
Draw
27.7%
Rhode Island
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 28.1% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • New Mexico United - Rhode Island Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.41)
    3.33
    (3.32)
    2.95
    (2.79)
    8.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City751115:9616
    2Tampa Bay642011:4714
    3Detroit63127:4310
    4Pittsburgh731310:12-210
    5Charleston73138:12-410
    6Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    7Indy Eleven623110:829
    8Miami FC72327:10-39
    9Rhode Island622211:838
    10Brooklyn72146:10-47
    11Birmingham61327:8-16
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax70165:14-91


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC84317:3415
    2San Antonio84318:5315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Oakland Roots834114:11313
    5Sacramento Republic72418:5310
    6Phoenix Rising723211:839
    7FC Tulsa72329:819
    8Colorado Springs622212:1028
    9New Mexico52035:8-36
    10Lexington71336:8-26
    11Las Vegas Lights712411:15-45
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)