Result
4:1
29/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/385) | 73% (231/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/385) | 73% (231/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (83/115) | 59% (66/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 3.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.28 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Boli F. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Hassan H. ⚽, Boli F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', El Deeb K. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
- 49', Zizo 🟨,
- 63', Afsha ↓, Dunga M. ↑,
- 64', Ebuka J. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
- 64', Magdi A. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 68', Zizo ↓, Mohamed H. ↑,
- 68', Miskic D. ↓, Diasty M. ↑,
- 73', Kaandorp M. ↓, Abdelaati M. ↑,
- 73', Hassan H. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
- 76', Ragab M. 🟨,
- 78', Reda A. ↓, Dahroug A. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 0, Boli F. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
- 82', Emad M. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
- 84', 4 - 0, Mohamed H. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
- 88', Teka S. 🟨,
- 89', 4 - 1, Farid F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Abdelaati M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wadi Degla
33.9% | Draw
35.5% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wadi Degla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.31) |
2.61 ↓
(2.7) |
3.03 ↓
(3.54) |
7.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Al-Ittihad (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
- Wadi Degla is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ittihad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of away games.
- Wadi Degla might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Wadi Degla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Wadi Degla?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wadi Degla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
27.10.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Wadi Degla
1:2
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | ZED | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 31 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 31 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 22 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 18 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
