Pavia vs Varesina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Cominetti M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Pavia
38%
Draw
29.2%
Varesina
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 29.5% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 28.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pavia - Varesina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.15)
    3.1
    (3.08)
    2.75
    (3.2)
    10.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pavia - Varesina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varesina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pavia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pavia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pavia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pavia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Varesina were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Varesina - Pavia 2:2
    Latest results of Pavia
    15.02.2026 Pavia - Brusaporto 1:0
    08.02.2026 Folgore Caratese - Pavia 2:0
    01.02.2026 Pavia - Real Calepina 2:0
    25.01.2026 Breno - Pavia 2:2
    18.01.2026 Pavia - Oltrepo 0:0
    Latest results of Varesina
    22.02.2026 Varesina - Scanzorosciate 1:1
    08.02.2026 Brusaporto - Varesina 1:1
    01.02.2026 Varesina - Villa Valle 4:1
    25.01.2026 Real Calepina - Varesina 2:0
    18.01.2026 Varesina - Sondrio 0:2
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese26158342:192353
    2USD Casatese261013337:251243
    3Villa Valle26134937:34343
    4Chievo26134937:35243
    5AC Milan U2326126841:301142
    6Brusaporto26126832:26642
    7Leon26109733:26739
    8Oltrepo26117829:26337
    9Scanzorosciate26812629:25436
    10Ciserano-Bergamo2699821:21036
    11Castellanzese2698933:27635
    12Caldiero Terme26811734:29535
    13Real Calepina26961135:35033
    14Breno26781131:38-729
    15Varesina264121027:34-724
    16Pavia26591227:41-1424
    17Sondrio26541722:52-3019
    18Vogherese26281615:39-248

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation