Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 🟥,
- 89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche 32.8% | Draw 31.2% | Naval 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Peniche - Naval Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.78 ↑ (2.69) |
2.92 ↓ (3.03) |
2.53 ↑ (2.46) |
9.7% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Naval?
Peniche has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against Peniche?
Naval has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Naval were as follows:
26.10.2025
Naval
-
Peniche
2:0
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Peniche | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Lajense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 32:57 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to