Peniche vs Naval – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
16
Red cards
01
Total shots
610
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, ,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 89', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
32.8%
Draw
31.2%
Naval
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 29.8% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 29.7% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Peniche - Naval Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.69)
    2.92
    (3.03)
    2.53
    (2.46)
    9.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Naval were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    14.02.2026 Peniche - Fatima 1:1
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    Latest results of Naval
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    17.01.2026 Naval - SB Castelo Branco 1:0
    10.01.2026 Eléctrico - Naval 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 24157232:102252
    2SB Castelo Branco24144641:202146
    3Naval 189324135634:231144
    4Oliveira Hospital24128434:122244
    5Uniao Da Serra24118533:221141
    6Mortagua24106821:24-336
    7Os Marialvas24105933:27635
    8Peniche24761128:39-1127
    9Fatima24681020:28-826
    10Lajense24681031:33-226
    11Marinhense24591016:30-1424
    12Samora Correia24651321:32-1123
    13Electrico ✔ 24541532:57-2519
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 24451522:41-1917

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to