Result
3:1
01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 11
- Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/354) | 73% (267/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (263/354) | 73% (267/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 52% (38/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/87) | 56% (80/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Williams E. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, MacIver R. ⚽,
- 32', MacIver R. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 38', 3 - 0, Miller C. ⚽, Williams E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dackers M. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
- 46', Brannan B. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
- 46', McKenzie R. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 49', John-Jules T. 🟨,
- 69', 3 - 1, John-Jules T. ⚽,
- 70', Williams E. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
- 70', Wilson K. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 77', Miller C. ↓, Tait D. ↑,
- 77', Cartwright H. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
- 86', Deas R. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
47.2% | Draw
25.7% | Kilmarnock
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Falkirk - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.87) |
3.67 ↓
(3.88) |
3.51 ↓
(3.76) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Falkirk will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Falkirk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Inactive)
Neilson L.
(Inactive)
Nesbitt A.
(Foot Injury)
Sneddon J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
Daniels D.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Watkins M.
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Kilmarnock?
Falkirk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Falkirk?
Kilmarnock has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Kilmarnock were as follows:
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28:9 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Celtic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
