Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/386) | 73% (249/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/386) | 73% (249/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (64/105) | 53% (57/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Peda P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Peda P. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 51', Acampora G. 🟨,
- 53', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Insigne L. ⚽, Di Nardo A. (A),
- 62', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 62', Johnsen D. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 63', Acampora G. ↓, Berardi L. ↑,
- 69', Insigne L. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
- 74', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 80', Magnani G. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 85', Faraoni D. ↓, Altare G. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Meazzi L. ⚽,
- 89', Bettella D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Di Nardo A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Brugman G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pescara
20.6% | Draw
24.5% | Palermo
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Pescara - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↑
(4.18) |
3.8 ↑
(3.67) |
1.71 ↓
(1.79) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pescara - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 1.
- Pescara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palermo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pescara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pescara: Brandes J.
(Inactive)
Caligara F.
(Injury)
Gravillon A.
(Yellow Cards)
Graziani L.
(Inactive)
Merola D.
(Inactive)
Okwonkwo O.
(Inactive)
Oliveri A.
(Inactive)
Pellacani F.
(Knee Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Pescara: Desplanches S.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pescara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pescara won against Palermo?
Pescara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Pescara?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pescara - Palermo were as follows:
01.11.2025
Palermo
-
Pescara
5:0
Latest results of Pescara
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
