Result
3:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (189/288) | 71% (288/407) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (189/288) | 71% (288/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/80) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (54/95) | 59% (91/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 2 - 0, Le Douaron J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 0, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
- 54', Frigerio M. R. 🟨,
- 54', Bani M. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 65', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 65', Pierozzi N. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 65', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 65', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
- 66', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
- 78', Veseli F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
- 81', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 81', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 82', Casiraghi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 90+4', Tonin R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palermo
55.9% | Draw
26.2% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
3.56 ↓
(3.78) |
5.17 ↑
(5.15) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Palermo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Kofler R.
(Yellow Cards)
Martini J.
(Injury)
Masiello A.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Palermo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Palermo?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
14.09.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
0:2
01.05.2025
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:2
30.09.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
1:3
10.05.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Palermo
0:1
01.10.2023
Palermo
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
