Result
3:0
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/409) | 82% (400/490) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/409) | 82% (400/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 64% (77/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Ranocchia F. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 0, Pierozzi N. ⚽,
- 53', Del Lungo T. ↓, Parodi L. ↑,
- 53', Guiu B. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 65', Cuppone L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 65', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
- 70', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 70', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 70', Bereszynski B. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 73', Marconi I. ↓, Pilati A. ↑,
- 77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 81', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo
57.2% | Draw
25.3% | Virtus Entella
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Palermo - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.58) |
3.67 ↓
(3.78) |
5.36 ↓
(5.45) |
6.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Palermo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Modesto R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Peda P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Tiritiello A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Virtus Entella?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Palermo?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Virtus Entella were as follows:
22.11.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
