Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Chances of winning
Iliria
40.4% | Draw
25% | Apolonia Fier
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iliria's form might have worsened.Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Apolonia Fier's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+18.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iliria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-17.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Iliria - Apolonia Fier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.6) |
3.59 ↑
(3.54) |
2.6 ↓
(5.07) |
11.3%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Iliria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Apolonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Apolonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Iliria is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iliria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Iliria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Iliria won against Apolonia Fier?
Iliria has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Apolonia Fier won against Iliria?
Apolonia Fier has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Iliria - Apolonia Fier were as follows:
31.01.2026
Iliria
-
Apolonia Fier
2:0
28.10.2025
Apolonia Fier
-
Iliria
0:0
Latest results of Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to
